As the COVID-19 epidemic enters a new stage, the resumption of work and production has gradually begun across the country.
As the basic driving force for economic recovery, various places have launched a war to resume work and grab people. From enterprises to governments, Recently, initiatives such as chartering special cars, chartering trains, and even chartering chartered planes have emerged one after another, competing to attract labor imports to drive the economy.
At present, which cities have a greater chance of winning in this competition?
On February 20, a reporter from the 21st Century Business Herald analyzed Baidu’s migration big data and found that according to the latest February 19 data, the country’s population migration ranked among the top ten. The cities are Dongguan, Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Suzhou, Foshan, Hangzhou, Beijing, Shanghai, Chengdu and Ningbo, which together accounted for 24.87% of the total in-migration population in the country on that day, nearly a quarter.
The top ten are mainly composed of cities in the Pearl River Delta and Yangtze River Delta, occupying 4 seats each. However, looking at the time axis, there are different trends. From February 12 to 19, the number of people moving into Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Dongguan has always ranked among the top three in the country within 8 days;
Suzhou, Hangzhou, and Ningbo in the triangle have shown strong catching-up momentum, with a significant increase in population migration and a continuously higher ranking. Shanghai once ranked second in the country on February 11.
Taken together, the Pearl River Delta and the Yangtze River Delta are economically developed, especially the manufacturing industry, which creates huge jobs and is naturally attractive to the population. At the same time, the critical response of the two urban agglomerations in the prevention and control of the epidemic and the resumption of work and production is also key.
Main areas where adult population migrates to Guangdong and Zhejiang
February 10 is the time when most provinces, including Guangdong, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Fujian, etc., officially resume work.
On that day, Dongguan ranked first among the most popular places for immigrants in the country, accounting for 5.21% of the country’s total immigrant population. Looking back later, Dongguan has never fallen out of the top three. In fact, the city has been the city with the largest immigrant population in the country for 6 days now.
As the “world’s factory”, Dongguan has gathered a large number of industrial workers. In 2018, the permanent population was 8.34 million, of which 4.5345 million were migrants. A large number of people returned home before the holiday. , returned on a large scale after the holidays, and this is also the case with this delayed resumption of work.
Still looking at February 10th, Dongguan is followed by the four first-tier cities, ranked in order: Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Shanghai and Beijing. On February 12th and 13th The same is true for the day. This shows that the population in first-tier cities returns quickly and stably after resumption of work. During this period, for example, on February 11th and February 15th, Guangzhou once ranked first in the country; on February 16th, Shenzhen also ranked first.
However, the trends in the four major first-tier cities gradually diverged. According to the latest data on February 19, except for Shenzhen and Guangzhou, which still ranked second and third, Beijing , Shanghai has fallen to seventh and eighth place one after another.
In fact, judging from the proportion of the immigrant population in the four major first-tier cities in the country, from February 10 to the present, although there are certain fluctuations in the process, the proportion is on the general trend. All have gradually declined. For example, Shenzhen dropped from the initial 4.98% to 3.35%, Guangzhou dropped from 4.94% to 3.28%, Shanghai dropped from 4.50% to 2.01%, and Beijing dropped from 4.18% to 2.04%.
The reporter noticed that the top ten cities in terms of immigrant population are mainly composed of cities in the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta, occupying 4 seats each. They all show strong population attraction, but The specific trends are slightly different.
From the perspective of the Pearl River Delta, the above-mentioned Dongguan, Shenzhen and Guangzhou are the main ones. Since February 12, the three cities have always been among the top three in the country for population migration. According to the latest According to the data on February 19, 30% accounted for 10.19% of the country’s total, that is, more than 10% of the country’s migrant population is destined for Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Dongguan. If Foshan is included, it accounts for 12.54%. On February 10, this proportion was as high as 17.42%.
From the perspective of the Yangtze River Delta, represented by Suzhou, Hangzhou and Ningbo, since February 10, the number of immigrants has continued to increase rise significantly. On February 10, the proportion of the immigrant population in the three cities in the country was 1.60%, 0.68% and 0.41% respectively. Except for Suzhou, Hangzhou and Ningbo were not among the top ten in the country, but on February 19 they had risen to 2.55%, 2.27% and 0.41% respectively. 1.59%, ranking fourth, sixth and tenth in the country respectively. From this point of view, Suzhou and Hangzhou have surpassed Shanghai within the Yangtze River Delta and become the main destinations for the in-migration population in the region. But overall, the proportion of immigrants in the Yangtze River Delta region in the country is still slightly lower than that in the Pearl River Delta, as reflected by the data.
At the same time, it can also be seen that in addition to the first-tier cities in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, Dongguan, Suzhou, Foshan and other developed manufacturing cities, many provincial capitals are also the main destinations for population migration. , including many central and western provincial capitals. For example, Chengdu, one of the top ten cities on February 19, accounted for 1.87% of the country’s in-migration volume. Previously, provincial capitals such as Changsha and Kunming also entered the top ten.
Whether we can grab people will test the hard-core operation of the local government
Why do these cities have such a prominent population influx during this resumption of work? 21st Century Business Herald reporters comprehensively analyzed data and recent city policy measures and found that there may be something behind this.Three reasons are closely related.
First of all, the above-mentioned cities are mainly divided into three categories: first-tier cities, developed manufacturing cities, and provincial capital cities. They themselves are major employment areas, so there is a natural return phenomenon of labor force after the holiday. , its attraction to the population is always strong.
Secondly, the above-mentioned cities are not key areas of the epidemic, and the epidemic prevention and control effects are relatively good this time.
For example, as of February 19, Guangzhou has had zero new confirmed cases and zero suspected cases of COVID-19 for three consecutive days; Shanghai, Shenzhen, Suzhou, Hangzhou, Dongguan and Foshan and other cities There have been zero new confirmed cases before, indicating that the epidemic is under control to a large extent.
The reporter noticed that the above-mentioned cities and the provinces where they are located have taken high-level and effective measures in epidemic prevention and control. For example, Zhejiang and Guangdong both launched nationwide epidemic prevention and control measures on January 23. The earliest to initiate major public health emergencies.
But more importantly, as epidemic prevention and control enters a new stage, the above-mentioned cities and provinces can quickly adjust their response strategies and measures, that is, on the basis of scientific prevention and control , attach importance to and promote the resumption of work and production of enterprises, and accelerate economic recovery.
This is to a large extent an important reason why the above-mentioned cities can effectively attract the rapid return of population. A reporter from the 21st Century Business Herald also noticed during the interview that many manufacturing companies in the Pearl River Delta quickly mobilized employees to return to work before and after resumption of work to cope with subsequent production needs, and the employment gap was also shrinking as companies gradually resumed production and employees gradually returned. situation.
Specifically, taking Suzhou as an example, the city took the lead in the country as early as February 2 to issue the “Regulations on Responding to the Pneumonia Epidemic of New Coronavirus Infection and Supporting Small and Medium-sized Enterprises to Overcome Difficulties Together” “Ten Policy Opinions” to provide support in advance for the development of enterprises after resumption of work. In terms of procedures and more details, cities such as Guangzhou and Foshan have successively issued notices explicitly canceling the approval of enterprises to resume work and employee health certificates. In addition, Foshan, Guangzhou and other municipal governments have also clearly solved the problem of purchasing epidemic prevention materials needed for enterprises to resume work.
Data show that as of February 16, 65% of industrial enterprises above designated size in Jiangsu have resumed work, accounting for about 17% of the country, ranking first in the country; Guangdong, Shanghai, etc. have also resumed work. are more than 50%. The higher level of resumption of work has formed a strong ability to return and attract people.
At the same time, as the resumption of work gradually increases, the above-mentioned cities and provinces are taking further measures to accelerate the return and import of labor to drive the economy, including chartered cars, Issue subsidies, reward human resources agencies, etc.
For example, on February 19, Zhejiang launched 5 return trips for customized workers from Zhoukou, Henan (via Fuyang, Anhui), Nanchang, Jiangxi, Chengdu, Sichuan, Kunming, Yunnan, and Yibin, Sichuan. Special trains carried back nearly 4,000 migrant workers; Guangdong also successively sent special trains from Yunnan, Guangxi and other places to transport thousands of migrant workers to enterprises in the Pearl River Delta “point-to-point”.
On February 20, Dongguan issued a document to encourage commercial human resources service agencies to assist Dongguan companies in solving labor shortages during the epidemic. For recommending employment to Dongguan enterprises, each organization can receive a reward of up to 300,000 yuan. </p
