This year is considered to be the most difficult year that textile people have ever encountered. The epidemic is like the wings of a butterfly in the tropical rain forest. A gentle flap can make the world tremble. At present, global prevention and control has entered a new stage. Many countries are eager to open up. Even if they are not prepared, all they can think about is the economy. This is the most undesirable thing. Looking at India, Africa, the United States, Brazil and other countries, real-time statistics from Johns Hopkins University in the United States show that as of 7:32 on May 29, Beijing time, there were more than 5.8 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 worldwide, and the cumulative number of deaths exceeded 359,000. example. The infection problem in U.S. prisons is serious; Brazil has a record high of 26,000 new confirmed cases in a single day; infections in Indian slums continue to worsen; the epidemic continues to spread, has not significantly eased, and is even growing significantly, but it has to join in the fun to restore the economy, as the saying goes The scars are healed and the pain is forgotten. Some countries have forgotten their scars before they are healed. This is not only irresponsible to their own people, but also irresponsible to the global anti-epidemic results.
As the saying goes, you will get what you fear. At the beginning of April, the editor was worried that countries with poor control such as India and Africa might become the stepping stone for a “second dip” in the global economy. Recently, I have seen these The country’s situation still does not rule out such risks.
Infections in Africa have exceeded 100,000, and more than one-third of African countries are at risk of debt
The World Health Organization recently issued a warning that with a population of 1.3 billion And the African continent, which has the largest concentration of developing countries, may show a trend of COVID-19 pandemic. As of 6 p.m. Eastern Africa Time on May 27, data from the Africa Centers for Disease Control and Prevention show that 54 countries in the African region have reported 119,391 confirmed cases of COVID-19, 3,589 deaths, and 48,618 recoveries.
Judging from the number of confirmed cases, the countries with the most severe epidemics in the region are South Africa, Egypt, Algeria, Morocco and Nigeria. The cumulative number of confirmed cases in Algeria, Morocco and Nigeria also exceeds 7,500.
Due to the different epidemic situations in African countries, and the different health systems and protection levels of each country, based on the actual situation of the country, some African countries continue to extend the period of epidemic prevention measures, and some countries have gradually lifted the ban and prevention measures. , seeking economic recovery.
Some analysts pointed out that the health systems of African countries are generally fragile and virus detection capabilities are seriously insufficient. In view of this, the current number of confirmed cases of new coronavirus pneumonia in Africa may be far lower than the actual number. At the same time, Africa’s fragile health system cannot provide sufficient support for epidemic prevention and control and even subsequent patient treatment.
The United Nations Economic Commission for Africa issued a report in mid-April warning that given that health systems in African countries are generally fragile and underfunded, if the epidemic cannot be effectively controlled, in the worst case scenario, the new coronavirus may kill 1.2 billion people. 3.3 million people will be infected and 3.3 million people will die; in the best case scenario, 122 million people will be infected and 300,000 people will die.
Some African countries have been plagued by diseases such as Ebola and AIDS, and the epidemic has further hit their fragile medical systems. In addition to impacting Africa’s existing fragile health systems, the COVID-19 epidemic has also exacerbated the local debt crisis and threatened food security.
According to public information, as of April 27, 35 countries in Africa have declared a state of emergency and adopted “city closures” measures to Strict control measures will be adopted for ships/flights/trains entering the port, and control measures will be taken at border ports. Media reports on May 20 showed that as the epidemic in Africa has not been effectively controlled, Kenya, Uganda, Morocco, Namibia and other countries have begun to upgrade epidemic prevention measures, and many countries have extended the curfew state of emergency.
The epidemic and blockade measures have had a devastating impact on Africa. The African economy may shrink by 5.1%, nearly 30 million jobs are threatened, and more than one-third of African countries face debt risks.
Strict blockade measures under the epidemic have caused millions of farmers to become unemployed and production has dropped sharply. The epidemic has also caused some developed countries to restrict food exports and impose restrictions on those who rely on food imports. For some African countries, the situation is even worse. In addition, the epidemic has made social security and combating terrorism in Africa face greater challenges. Since the outbreak of the epidemic, vicious cases such as robbery and assault have been reported in many African countries.
The epidemic has not slowed down, the typhoon has just left, and the locust plague is coming again! India is in a mess
As of May 27, the cumulative number of confirmed cases in India has reached 158,000, with a cumulative increase of 7,293 cases in a single day. This also marks that the epidemic in India has entered a real epidemic. During the “big outbreak”, if the Indian health department does not come up with practical solutions, it will be an absolutely devastating blow to the South Asian subcontinent with dense population and poor sanitary environment.
According to Indian media reports, the infection situation in the country’s slums continues to worsen. On the 28th, 36 new cases were confirmed in the Tarawi slum in Mumbai, bringing the total confirmed cases toThe number of cases rose to 1,675.
Mumbai, where Tarawi is located, is the city with the worst epidemic in India. So far, there have been more than 25,000 confirmed cases in Mumbai, accounting for about one-fifth of the total confirmed cases in India.
The house leaked due to continuous rain. Just a few days ago, the super typhoon “Amphan”, which is said to be the first to be seen in decades in the Bay of Bengal, just landed in northeastern India, bringing violent winds and heavy rains to India. Due to strong winds, more than 1 million people in at least several states in India were evacuated, but dozens of people still died from this natural disaster.
If the effects of the epidemic and typhoons are short-lived, then the locust plague that eats up all the plants is an absolute nightmare for densely populated India. According to a report in the Times of India on May 27, India is suffering from the worst disaster in 26 years. The severe locust plague has hit the central and northern states of Rajasthan, Central India and Gujarat the hardest. The locust army stretching for more than ten kilometers has destroyed at least nearly 100,000 hectares of crops. The sky above some cities was covered by overwhelming insect clouds, and even the outsides of some residential buildings were covered with locusts, which looked extremely infiltrating.
Generally speaking, locust plagues in India mainly occur at the end of June when the monsoon comes, not in late May today. Now India’s crops are about to be harvested. Such an army of locusts, larger than in previous years, is enough to make Indian farmers in many states face crop failure. Locusts are extremely capable of destroying farmland. A small swarm of locusts can eat the food rations of thousands of people in one day. In addition, they fly extremely fast (they can fly up to 300-400 kilometers in a single day). , these locusts may fly across the South Asian subcontinent in a few days, bringing disaster to the entire India. In addition, new locust swarms are still being born in Africa and Central Asia. The second wave of large-scale locust infestations will once again pass through Pakistan and reach India in late June. By then, India’s food security situation will be even worse.
India, which has suffered a series of shocks, is in a state of chaos. Whether it is an epidemic, typhoon or locust plague, every single disaster is enough to give the Indian government a headache for a long time in normal times, let alone all of them.
The epidemic is difficult to eradicate in the short term and the economy needs to recover. Textile enterprises: Be prepared for a protracted war to avoid and prevent trade risks
As the saying goes, every family has a problem. After the epidemic spread around the world, it has shown unique characteristics in many countries. This has also resulted in different epidemic prevention measures and methods in various countries. However, since humans do not yet have enough understanding of the new coronavirus, I would like to It is unrealistic to completely control the virus in the short term. We must be prepared for a protracted war.
In addition, due to the recent impact of the epidemic and control measures, problems in Africa and India have become increasingly prominent in terms of logistics and transportation difficulties, declining domestic security conditions, reduced buyers’ willingness to pay, and rising risks of cargo rejection and bankruptcy. In addition, against the backdrop of economic deterioration, exchange rate risks are also rising. In view of the great development potential of markets such as Africa and India, which are of great importance and far-reaching significance to Chinese companies in the economic and trade field, the editor recommends that my country’s relevant export companies should guard against risks, closely track the epidemic prevention and control measures in the region, and focus on their economic and social status quo to avoid and prevent trade risks. </p
