The prosperity monitoring results of the China Textile Federation Circulation Branch show that in December 2020, the prosperity index of the national textile and apparel professional market managers was 50.16, a decrease of 0.59 percentage points from 50.75 in November; the prosperity index of professional market merchants was 50.80, a decrease from 11 The monthly reading was 51.46, a decrease of 0.66 percentage points. In December, the textile and apparel professional market declined slightly based on the peak sales season in November, and the overall prosperity is improving.
1. The prosperity of managers and merchants are both higher than the 50 boom-bust line
Data show that in December, the national textile and apparel professional market managers and The various business prosperity indexes of merchants have dropped slightly compared with November, but are generally above the 50 line.
1. The manager’s prosperity index dropped by 0.59 percentage points
Chart 1 Manager Index List Data Source: China Textile Federation Circulation Branch statistics
From the perspective of the manager climate index, among the total index, the manager climate index in December was 50.16, down 0.59 percentage points from 50.75 in November; the business environment index was 49.03, down from 50.75 in November. 51.61, a decrease of 2.58 percentage points.
Among the sub-indexes, the total operating volume index was 50.97, down 0.97 percentage points from 51.94 in November; the logistics shipment volume index was 51.29, down 0.65 percentage points from 51.94 in November; the passenger flow index was 51.29, down 0.65 percentage points from 51.94 in November. 50.00, down 1.61 percentage points from 51.61 in November; the opening rate index was 49.35, down 0.65 percentage points from 50.00 in November; the rent index was 48.71, the same as November; the e-commerce sales index was 50.65, down from 50.32 in November increased by 0.32 percentage points.
2. The merchant prosperity index dropped by 0.66 percentage points
Chart 2 Merchant Index List
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Data source: China Textile Federation Circulation Branch Statistics
From the perspective of merchant prosperity index, among the total index, the merchant prosperity index in December was 50.80, down 0.66 percentage points from 51.46 in November; the business environment index was 49.15, down 4.41 percentage points from 53.57 in November.
Among the sub-indexes, the sales volume index was 52.18, down 1.17 percentage points from 53.36 in November; the average selling price index was 51.41, down 1.39 percentage points from 52.80 in November; the profitability index was 51.76, down from 52.80 in November. November’s 52.94 dropped 1.18 percentage points; the comprehensive cost index was 49.65, up 0.63 percentage points from 49.02 in November; the inventory index was 50.14, up 0.14 percentage points from 50.00 in November; the e-commerce sales index was 49.65, up from 11 The monthly reading was 50.63, a decrease of 0.98 percentage points.
II. Data analysis
1. Total market operation and logistics shipment volume index declined
In December, choose market operation The total increase rate was 25.81%, a decrease of 6.45 percentage points from 32.26% in November; the increase rate of selected market logistics shipments was 25.81%, a decrease of 3.22 percentage points from 29.03% in November. The total market operation index and logistics shipment volume index both showed a downward trend. It can be seen that with the end of the peak sales season in the second half of the year, sales in the professional market have declined slightly.
2. Merchant cost and inventory pressures have eased
In December, the merchant comprehensive cost index was 49.65, an increase of 0.63 points from 49.02 in November. percentage points; the inventory index was 50.14, an increase of 0.14 percentage points from 50.00 in November. Through a series of winter clothing promotions in December, merchants’ cost pressure and inventory pressure have been slightly relieved.
3. The prediction index declined overall
Data show that for managers, the manager’s prosperity index for the next period is 49.35, a decrease of 2.58 from 51.94 in November. percentage points; the business environment index for the next period is 49.68, down 1.93 percentage points from 51.61 in November. In terms of merchants, the merchant prosperity index for the next period is 48.94, down 4.69 percentage points from 53.64 in November; the business environment index for the next period is 48.31, down 5.19 percentage points from 53.50 in November. In terms of prediction index, the four prediction indexes of managers and merchants all showed significant declines. In December, due to the spread of the domestic epidemic at multiple points, professional market managers and merchants’ confidence in the operating conditions in January declined. </p
