Overseas epidemics are still spreading rapidly, and India’s sudden “lockdown” is particularly worthy of attention. my country’s foreign trade companies that have recently shipped goods to India need to beware of extended cargo transportation times. , as well as no one to pick up the goods after arriving in India, and the transportation was not smooth.
The sudden “lockdown” of the country makes the epidemic situation not optimistic
At 8:10 pm on March 24, Modi suddenly delivered a televised speech to the nation, announcing that “the Indian people, regardless of their No matter where you are, you are not allowed to go out for the next three weeks.” The ban will take effect at 0:00 on March 25.
According to the latest notification from the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare of India, as of March 23 local time As of 10:30 a.m. on the same day, India had a total of 415 confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 7 deaths. However, some analysts pointed out that the reason why the Modi government suddenly vigorously “closed the country” is because the epidemic data released by the Indian Ministry of Health are not trustworthy, and the government has another account of India’s new crown pneumonia epidemic assessment, and the outlook is not optimistic.
After a meeting between the Indian central government and state governments, it was decided to blockade the capital New Delhi. Including 75 administrative regions severely affected by the epidemic. All passenger trains, subways, and interstate transportation are prohibited from operating, construction activities in the city are suspended, all religious places are closed, and all commercial facilities and factories in the city are closed until March 31, local time. Among the 75 administrative regions blocked in India, there are many port cities such as New Delhi, Mumbai, and Chennai.
At the same time, the Directorate General of Shipping of India (DGS) has begun to implement measures to prevent and control the epidemic. A 14-day quarantine will be implemented for ships departing from all ports in China and related countries with severe epidemics. The 14-day quarantine period is calculated from the time of departure from the previous port.
Affected by India’s lockdown, India’s trade, production, transportation (including shipping, shipping), exchanges and other activities have been significantly reduced or even canceled for more than two weeks.
According to statistics, as of early April, many ports in India were shut down and more than 50,000 containers were stranded. India’s entire industrial chain, including cotton processing and export, cotton gauze production and sales, clothing, and foreign trade, has been severely impacted. Not only has the operating rate of textile and garment enterprises dropped sharply and closures increased, but the unemployment rate continues to rise.
An Indian cotton exporter said that due to domestic cotton consumption demand since late March, cotton exporters have pressed the “pause button” at the same time; in addition, purchasing companies and retailers in Europe and the United States have A large number of orders have been canceled or shipments have been postponed indefinitely, so the situation is getting worse step by step; it is hoped that the government departments will lift the “country and city lockdown” measures as soon as possible so that cotton textile production and cotton yarn export business can return to normal.
Judging from the investigation, due to India’s lockdown and the sharp drop in cotton prices, some cotton and cotton yarn export contracts were unable to be executed, and the contracts were actually broken; once shipments and contracts are still unable to be fulfilled around late April, Then the peak of breach of contract will arrive as scheduled.
Recently, some media said that the Indian government working group recommended lifting some of the blockade measures. Judging from the timing, it is possible that the Indian government will unlock the country in mid-April. However, in fact, the speed, harm and low prevention and control capabilities of the epidemic in India greatly exceeded the predictions of the government departments. The WHO and some international medical institutions unanimously agreed Point the next “epicenter” of the epidemic to India and Africa.
On April 3, Professor Zeng Guang, a member of the National Health Commission’s high-level expert group and chief epidemiologist at the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, said in an interview with a reporter from the People’s Daily Health Client:
If the epidemic in China is the first wave, and European and American countries are the second wave, then developing countries such as India are likely to be the third wave, and prevention and control must be done well. Their success may play a decisive role in the success of global epidemic prevention and control.
Professor Zeng Guang further said that the quality of epidemic control sometimes does not necessarily depend on a country’s economic status, development level or GDP, but rather depends on a country’s prevention and control measures, prevention and control measures, and GDP. Whether the control idea is correct, whether we really pay attention to it, and whether we follow the rules of infectious disease control.
Developing countries can control the epidemic if they do well. If developed countries do not pay attention, the epidemic will become serious. Looking at our country and European and American countries, there is a sharp contrast.
However, what is worrying is that in the face of epidemic prevention and control, India does not have an advantage.
India has a land area of 2.98 million square kilometers and a population of 1.324 billion in 2019. Compared with my country, the population is more densely populated. Millions of Indians still live in slums, where dozens of family members often share several rooms.
In such an environment, isolation measures are difficult to effectively implement and safe social distance is almost impossible to implement. India’s low investment in medical resources is another important reason why the outside world is worried about its epidemic.
Even in Italy and Spain, which are developed countries, the continued surge in patients has caused a shortage of medical equipment such as ventilators in many places. In India, its investment in the medical field in 2016 was only It accounts for 3.7% of the country’s GDP, making it one of the bottom 25 countries in the world.
Number of doctors and nurses, hospital beds�The quantity is also at the bottom in the world. “The epidemic in India is indeed a problem that many people are worried about.” Xu Meng, deputy chief physician of the Department of Infectious Diseases at the China-Japan Friendship Hospital, said that India has a high population density and the number of infections and death rates are indeed relatively low. However, once the epidemic breaks out in India, the number of cases will I am afraid it will be no less than China, or even far more than the United States, and will have a serious impact on the world.
“The world is a community with a shared future. Although China has done very well, if other countries, especially big neighboring countries like India, have an outbreak, it will be very troublesome and will also bring disaster to our country. It has caused a lot of pressure.”
Xu Meng said that many people believe that India is a tropical country and is not conducive to the spread of the virus, but it is still too early to draw this conclusion about the epidemic in India.
Although cotton, cotton textile and clothing companies are eager to unlock and lift the ban, they are probably just wishful thinking. The specific reasons are as follows:
First, the epidemic in India is ongoing Accelerating the spread to slums may make the country another outbreak center in the world;
Second, insufficient testing capabilities, excessive testing standards and costs have restricted India’s expansion of testing coverage Scope;
Third, the spread of believers after the return of migrant workers and religious gatherings, scattered outbreak points, and lack of necessary medical conditions have caused the epidemic to form a humanitarian crisis in India. With the exposure of the epidemic in India, some experts predict that the number of infected people in India is likely to exceed at least 200 million, and the outbreak should be in May.
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