On August 22, the “2023 Xinjiang The “Cotton Yield Forecast Research Activities” continued in Kuitun City and Wusu City, Xinjiang. The research team held discussions and field surveys with the heads of local leading enterprises and cooperatives.
It is understood that this year, in accordance with the requirements of the Corps, the Seventh Division area will plant The cotton area was adjusted from 1.83 million acres in previous years to 1.65 million acres, and the reduced part was replanted with crops such as wheat and soybeans. Last year, the average yield of local seed cotton was 490-530 kg/mu. Based on the current growth situation of cotton fields, the yield per mu is expected to be 400-450 kg/mu this year, a decrease of about 50 kg/mu. The final yield will depend on the weather conditions in the next 20-30 days. , the total local output is expected to be around 300,000 tons.
In a cotton field in a regiment field of the Seventh Division, there are few cotton buds. The number is 7-8, and the number is 12-13. Some cotton plants have sporadic peach blossoms in front of them. According to major cotton growers, the defoliant application time this year is expected to be from September 10th to 15th. The picking and purchasing period may be delayed compared with normal years. It is initially planned to start picking and purchasing from the end of September to the beginning of October.
During random surveys in cotton fields in Wusu City and Bole area It was found that some cotton fields are affected by soil quality, water regime, early disasters and field management to varying degrees, and their growth is average. The yield per mu is expected to be 350 kg/mu, and with good field management, it can reach about 450 kg/mu.
Judging from the survey in the past two days, companies have strong expectations for this year’s new products. Regarding annual seed cotton acquisitions, one is worried about the rush to harvest in the market; the other is that they will pay close attention to the futures price trend. If the futures price is inverted within 500 yuan, companies will purchase it. Once market fluctuations increase, companies will avoid risks and postpone acquisitions. The third is Pay attention to the impact of future cottonseed prices on purchase prices.