It is said that there is no telling which will come first, tomorrow or accident. The price trend of fresh cocoons in 2020 confirms this. In a special year like this year’s COVID-19 epidemic, this year’s fresh cocoon acquisition is also full of variables.
According to statistics from the agricultural department, the area of mulberry orchards in Guangxi District in 2019 was about 2.95 million acres, the production of silkworm cocoons was about 380,000 tons, and sericulture production covered about 820,000 farmers. , involving about 3.7 million employees, and the average household income from sericulture is more than 20,000 yuan. Guangxi’s fresh cocoon production actually accounts for more than 50% of the country’s total. The fresh cocoon production in Hechi area and surrounding areas accounts for more than 35% of the region’s fresh cocoon production. We make a brief analysis of the market price of fresh cocoons in Yizhou District, which has the largest output:
The first batch
Yizhou District has launched spring cocoons on the market since April 17. The launch time of the first batch of spring cocoons is basically the same as last year, with the initial price of 24-26 yuan per kilogram. During this period, cocoon sellers took advantage of the fear of the epidemic and directly purchased cocoons from silkworm farmers to lower the price. In 2019, the purchase price of the first batch of spring cocoons in Yizhou was around 34-36 yuan/kg). As the quantity on the market increases, the quality of spring cocoons is generally better, and the pupation rate increases significantly. The purchase price gradually reaches around 26-28 yuan per kilogram, and the closing price during the May Day period is around 30-32 yuan per kilogram.
The impact of the epidemic on the sericulture industry is beginning to appear. According to research by the Guangxi Cocoon and Silk Association, as the first batch of spring cocoons in Guangxi were put on the market in mid-April in Xincheng, Hengxian, Napo and other places, the purchase price was 30 to 31 yuan/kg, a decrease of 48% from the end of last year. %. The impact of the epidemic has been transmitted to the sericulture industry. Farmers have begun to cancel their subscriptions to small silkworms, small silkworm co-breeders have begun to reduce the number of co-raised silkworm seeds, and silkworm breeding farms have begun to reduce silkworm seed production.
After the first batch of silkworm cocoons were put on the market, some sericulture farmers adopted the strip mulberry breeding method and reduced the number of silkworms to expand sericulture production, reduce labor costs, and increase the interval between batches of sericulture.
On April 20, the Yizhou District Cocoon and Silk Association issued an open letter proposing: reduce the number of breeding batches to two to three; pay attention to the time and quality of reeling; and prevent hairy-footed cocoons from being put on the market.
The second batch
Since the peak of listing around May 10, the purchase price is generally around 32 yuan per kilogram, with the highest being around 35 yuan, and the closing price is around 33 yuan per kilogram. about. The overall quality is good, and the clarity and other indicators are good. The price of the first batch of fresh cocoons on the market, 24 yuan per kilogram, had an impact on farmers’ enthusiasm, which was reflected in the amount of young silkworms being produced, with some being discarded after being produced.
The third batch
Since May 23, the third batch of fresh cocoons has been on the market in large quantities. The overall price is better than the second batch. The overall purchase price is around 36 yuan per kilogram. At the end of May, the price of tail cocoons was around 39 yuan per kilogram. But at the same time, the price of zombie silkworms was around 40-50 yuan per kilogram. The price of double palace cocoon is about 34 yuan per kilogram.
The fourth batch
The market entered its peak on June 9th. Affected by continuous heavy rains, the cocoon quality was average. The overall purchase price was around 32 yuan per kilogram, and the difference in feeding quality widened. , the lowest is only about 27 yuan per kilogram.
The fifth batch
Starting from June 22, it will gradually enter the peak of listing according to the photo area. The price is generally around 31 yuan per kilogram and no more than 32 yuan.
The sixth batch
The sixth batch of fresh cocoons will be on the market on June 27. The price is mostly 26-28 yuan per kilogram. The sixth batch of silkworms is average or poor, and the price difference In Lada, the price generally fluctuates between 24 yuan and 31 yuan per kilogram.
Under the epidemic situation, based on the situation of silkworm seed production and seed ordering in the local silkworm seed production department and the seed distribution situation of small silkworm co-breeding households, the first and second batch of seed orders dropped by 10% year-on-year. % to about 20%. The third batch was directly affected by the price of the first batch of spring cocoons, and the order volume dropped by about 40% year-on-year.
The fourth batch of fresh cocoon seed production has rebounded significantly, directly driven by the rebound in cocoon prices in the early stage, and has dropped by about 20 to 30% year-on-year. It is understood that when the purchase price of fresh cocoons is below 34 to 36 yuan per kilogram, large sericulture farmers will reduce the number of animals raised due to labor costs. You and your family can raise up to one mulberry plant per batch. The proportion of large farmers with more than 6 acres of mulberry fields in Yizhou, Huanjiang and other major production areas is 30%-40%.
According to our understanding, the new area of mulberry gardens in Guangxi District has increased in 2020. According to information from the agricultural department, as of May 30, 2020, approximately 3.631 million silkworm seeds had been distributed throughout the region. The current average purchase price of silkworm cocoons in Guangxi is about 30 yuan/kg, which is lower than the 40 yuan/kg that silkworm farmers expect. </p
