The prosperity monitoring results of the Circulation Branch of China Textile Federation show that in December 2020, the prosperity index of the national textile and apparel professional market managers was 50.16, a decrease of 0.59 percentage points from 50.75 in November; the prosperity index of professional market merchants was 50.80, a decrease from 11 The monthly reading was 51.46, a decrease of 0.66 percentage points. In December, the textile and apparel professional market declined slightly based on the peak sales season in November, and the overall prosperity is improving.
Managers’ prosperity and merchants’ prosperity are both higher than the 50 boom-bust line
Data shows that 12 In March, the various prosperity indexes of national textile and apparel professional market managers and merchants dropped slightly compared with November, but were overall higher than the 50 line.
1. The manager’s prosperity index dropped by 0.59 percentage points
Chart 1 Manager Index List Data Source: China Textile Federation Circulation Branch statistics
From the perspective of the manager’s climate index, among the total index, the manager’s climate index in December was 50.16, a decrease of 0.59 percentage points from 50.75 in November; the business environment index was 49.03, down 2.58 percentage points from 51.61 in November.
Among the sub-indexes, the total operating volume index was 50.97, down 0.97 percentage points from 51.94 in November; the logistics shipment volume index was 51.29, down 0.65 percentage points from 51.94 in November. percentage points; the passenger flow index was 50.00, down 1.61 percentage points from 51.61 in November; the open rate index was 49.35, down 0.65 percentage points from 50.00 in November; the rental index was 48.71, the same as November; the e-commerce sales index was 50.65 , an increase of 0.32 percentage points from 50.32 in November.
2. The merchant prosperity index dropped by 0.66 percentage points
Chart 2 Merchant Index List
Data source: China Textile Federation Circulation Branch Statistics
From the merchant prosperity index, among the total index, The business climate index in December was 50.80, down 0.66 percentage points from 51.46 in November; the business environment index was 49.15, down 4.41 percentage points from 53.57 in November.
Among the sub-indexes, the sales volume index was 52.18, down 1.17 percentage points from 53.36 in November; the average selling price index was 51.41, down 1.39 percentage points from 52.80 in November; The profitability index was 51.76, down 1.18 percentage points from 52.94 in November; the comprehensive cost index was 49.65, up 0.63 percentage points from 49.02 in November; the inventory index was 50.14, up 0.14 percentage points from 50.00 in November; e-commerce sales The index was 49.65, down 0.98 percentage points from 50.63 in November.
Data analysis
1. Total market operation and logistics shipment volume index declined
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In December, the total operating volume of the selected market increased by 25.81%, down 6.45 percentage points from 32.26% in November; the logistics shipment volume of the selected market increased by 25.81%, down from 32.26% in November. The monthly reading was 29.03%, a decrease of 3.22 percentage points. The total market operation index and logistics shipment volume index both showed a downward trend. It can be seen that with the end of the peak sales season in the second half of the year, sales in the professional market have declined slightly.
2. Merchants’ cost and inventory pressures have eased
In December, merchants’ comprehensive costs and expenses The index was 49.65, an increase of 0.63 percentage points from 49.02 in November; the inventory index was 50.14, an increase of 0.14 percentage points from 50.00 in November. Through a series of winter clothing promotions in December, merchants’ cost pressure and inventory pressure have been slightly relieved.
The prediction index has declined overall
The data shows that in terms of managers, the manager’s prosperity index in the next period It was 49.35, down 2.58 percentage points from 51.94 in November; the next business environment index was 49.68, down 1.93 percentage points from 51.61 in November. In terms of merchants, the merchant prosperity index for the next period is 48.94, down 4.69 percentage points from 53.64 in November; the business environment index for the next period is 48.31, down 5.19 percentage points from 53.50 in November. In terms of prediction index, the four prediction indexes of managers and merchants all showed significant declines. In December, due to the spread of the domestic epidemic at multiple points, professional market managers and merchants’ confidence in the operating conditions in January declined. </p
