At the beginning of the year, a sudden epidemic disrupted everyone’s deployment, but the good news is that in this nationwide mobilization to stop the war, we A staged victory has been achieved.
The number of new confirmed cases of new coronavirus pneumonia every day in the country except Hubei continues to decline, reaching 11 cases on February 23, the best record since the outbreak. In addition, Macau has had no new cases for 17 days. Yesterday, 25 provinces, municipalities, and municipalities (including the XPCC) across the country, including Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan, achieved “0 growth,” setting a record. Such figures are encouraging.
But the domestic epidemic outbreak is gradually being controlled , while the number of daily confirmed cases is getting smaller and smaller, epidemics in Japan and South Korea, China’s neighbors, suddenly broke out.
As for Japan, as of 21:20 local time on the 23rd, there were a total of 838 confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia in Japan, including infected people in Japan and Chinese tourists. 133 people, 691 passengers and crew members of the Diamond Princess cruise ship, and 14 people who returned to Japan on a Japanese government-chartered flight.
In South Korea, the new coronavirus pneumonia epidemic in South Korea continues to spread. South Korea’s Central Epidemic Prevention Countermeasures Headquarters reported on the 25th that as of 9 a.m. local time that day, South Korea had 60 new confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia compared with 4 p.m. the previous day, bringing the total number of confirmed cases to 893.
What’s even more frightening is that in Japan and South Korea, The epidemic has not even attracted the attention it deserves. The local government has not taken any effective measures to control the spread of the epidemic. Instead, there is a mentality of burying one’s head in the soil and being an ostrich. Chinese netizens ridiculed that “I can’t even copy my homework.” “.
In addition, in addition to Japan and South Korea, people infected with the new coronavirus have also been discovered in Iran, Italy, Canada and other countries, especially Iran, with 43 confirmed patients. The death toll reached 8, and the mortality rate reached 18%. The editor can’t help but think that there is still a long way to go to finally defeat the epidemic.
The epidemic breaks out abroad, and foreign trade orders may Affected
For the textile market, the main contradiction at this stage is between the backlog of demand in the market and the slow recovery of production capacity. As a result, although there are orders in the market, textile workers are now almost afraid to take orders.
But as time goes by, workers have gradually returned to work, and both the operating rate of looms and the subsequent printing and dyeing finishing capacity have been able to keep up.
The editor originally judged that after the domestic epidemic was controlled, the backlog of demand in the foreign trade market was released, and production capacity increased at that time, and there may be A wave of orders exploded.
But judging from the current situation, things do not seem to be developing in the expected direction.
Although China’s epidemic has been gradually controlled, But the epidemic is breaking out abroad. Let’s take Japan and South Korea, which currently have the worst outbreaks outside of China, as examples.
In 2019, my country’s textile exports to Japan reached US$19.9 billion, making it the fourth largest textile export destination after the EU, ASEAN and the United States. In addition to the textiles imported directly from China, a large part of Japan’s textiles are fabrics sold by China to ASEAN countries, and then made into garments by ASEAN countries and then sold there. Therefore, the actual market will be larger than 19.9 billion US dollars. Some.
The Korean market is smaller than Japan, but from January to June 2019, China also exported US$2.74 billion in textile exports to South Korea.
Unfortunately, given the current laissez-faire attitude of Japan and South Korea towards the new coronavirus, the prospects for future epidemic control do not seem optimistic, and Once the epidemic breaks out, the region’s demand for textiles will inevitably be greatly affected.
Originally, the editor’s high expectations for the future were based on the lack of significant changes in foreign markets, but the current problem is that with the possible outbreak of foreign epidemics in the future , the foundation of the market has quietly changed.
The overall market situation of the textile industry last year was not good. The main reasons were Sino-US trade friction and overcapacity. If the epidemic in China is brought under control soon and weaving and fabric production capacity recovers quickly, enough market will be needed to absorb these huge production capacities.
But if demand in the world’s major textile markets declines due to the epidemic, the affected market will not be as simple as the United States last year. The problem of overcapacity will be It will also become more prominent. Once that time comes, weaving stocks are highFor enterprises, selling goods, dumping goods, and taking holidays in advance may happen again.
Some points for textile foreign trade enterprises Suggestions
Shift the focus to domestic trade
Under the influence of the Sino-US trade friction in 2019, China’s textile exports have been hit hard. As a country with a population of 1.3 billion, China is constantly developing The market already has the greatest potential in the world.
The current situation is that although China has the largest number of confirmed cases of the new coronavirus in the world, in the long run, with effective control measures, the future The epidemic in China may be the first to be eliminated.
Although China’s textile market is full of competition, it is also the most stable market with unlimited possibilities. Therefore, when foreign markets are blocked, some energy should be devoted to Moving domestically is also an option.
Control risks and accept orders with caution
This epidemic has brought about situations that almost all textile workers have never encountered before, so we need to be more cautious in everything.
When facing customers from countries such as Japan and South Korea, where the epidemic is spreading rapidly, the future situation must be taken into consideration when negotiating orders. In February, there were cases where Chinese companies chose to use “force majeure” clauses to waive contract exemptions due to the outbreak of the epidemic. If the epidemic breaks out abroad, there is a high probability that this situation will happen again.
Editor’s note:Although the domestic epidemic has been effectively controlled with the joint efforts of the people across the country, there is a trend of outbreaks abroad. As one goes and the other goes, China’s textile industry may turn from the current situation of insufficient production capacity into overcapacity in the future, and textile people need to prepare for this in advance.
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