If we want to say who has fallen the most recently except spandex, then nylon must be included. The decline of nylon in July was the most obvious. As the price of spandex has soared due to speculation last year, it is understandable that the price has fallen sharply. However, the price of nylon did not increase wildly because of the hot sales of nylon spinning last year. Although the popularity of nylon spinning has dissipated this year, the price of nylon will not reach the freezing point.
Why is this?
In the first half of 2022, the start-up in the downstream weaving field fluctuated at a low level, and the traditional textile peak season “Gold, Three and Silver” did not arrive as scheduled. Instead, affected by non-market factors, the start-up declined significantly, and the overall market was in a downward trend. According to the startup rates of sample companies monitored by Silkdu.com, it can be seen that the overall startup rate of weaving companies in Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions has basically remained at 70% and below in the first half of the year. In this regard, downstream weaving manufacturers have a low enthusiasm for buying nylon yarn, resulting in constant inventory in the first half of the year. At a high position.
Due to high costs, crude oil prices soared in the early stage, but nylon did not rise significantly. However, since June, since the off-season of the textile market hit, demand has gradually declined, and nylon prices have begun to slowly fall, with POY For example, the current price is 16,550 yuan/ton, which has dropped by 2,150 yuan/ton compared with the beginning of June. Now due to the decline in cost, the price of caprolactam, which is used in nylon yarn, has begun to fall, and inventory pressure has also caused many manufacturers to Plans for maintenance have begun. According to statistics, the overall load of nylon manufacturers is currently close to the low level during the same period of the epidemic in 2020, and this can also alleviate the inventory pressure of nylon filaments and the continued price decline.
Nylon prices are as low as freezing point, calmly waiting for rebound
This year, nylon manufacturers have been under pressure from high costs and weak demand. However, the nylon yarn should not fall much further. After all, the current price of POY of 16,000-16,600 yuan/ton has reached the lowest level this year. Upstream costs have also declined. In addition, manufacturers have reduced inventory due to maintenance, and downstream weaving manufacturers are at a low level. Buying, digesting some inventory, and reducing costs to produce some low-priced inventory, profits have recovered, and the inventory produced by manufacturers now is also preparing for the “Golden Nine and Silver Ten”.
The time has come to August. Although it is still the off-season, the editor has learned that small orders for autumn and winter fabrics are being issued one after another. Nylon yarn, which is made of nylon yarn, is also the main fabric for autumn and winter down jackets, cold-proof clothing, and jackets. , generally the quantity of this kind of fabric is very large. Once autumn and winter fabrics become more popular, the price of nylon yarn will naturally rise. Last year, due to the hot sales of nylon spinning, the price of nylon only dropped a few times. However, this year, the slow sales of nylon spinning has still had a huge impact on nylon. Even if the cost side increases this year, it will be difficult for the price to recover. According to the trend of nylon in previous years Look, starting from late August, the release of autumn and winter fabrics has the support of the demand side, and the price will naturally rise.
Of course, judging from the changes in nylon yarn in the past few years, this type of raw material will not rise or fall sharply. It dropped by two or three hundred today, and will drop by one or two hundred tomorrow. It will not experience a “roller coaster” like spandex yarn. It rises and falls in a pattern, so even if the price increases, it should rise slowly, and of course it won’t rise a lot all at once.
However, there is no guarantee that the second half of the year will continue to be deserted in the first half of the year. If the inventory is mainly sold, the price increase will definitely not exist. Unless the cost end is up, it may not be able to rebound quickly. Nylon is different from spandex. It is used in a larger proportion in weaving. Large, so its price rise and fall are inseparable from textile demand.
This year, both polyester manufacturers and weaving manufacturers are indeed having a hard time, mainly due to cost factors and the epidemic. Many bosses are not optimistic about the market in the second half of the year. Indeed, the unfriendly cost side makes textile bosses Even if there is an order with the polyester boss, there is no profit. This does make people lose confidence in the market, but don’t be disappointed in the market. The Golden Nine and Silver Ten are coming soon, and there may be a wave of unexpected joys.
</p
